MESO, Inc. MM5 Real Time Colorado Forecast

Current MESO MM5 runs are initialized at: 15-JUL-1999 12 UTC


Quickly go to: Coarse Grid Forecast
Nested Grid Forecast
Point Site Forecasts
Vertical Cross-Sections


Coarse (30 km resolution) and nested grid domains (10 km resolution):

Grid configuration: The coarse domain has 71 x 58 points horizontally with a 30 km grid spacing. The nested domain has 52 x 49 points horizontally, with a 10 km grid spacing. Both domains have 25 layers in the vertical, with the model top at 75 mb. Both domains are run for 36 hours. The nested domain land surface characteristics (terrain, land/water, sea surface temperature, land use, soil moisture, snow cover) are all interpolated directly to the nested grid scale; as a result the nested grid has features consistent with that scale and is not just an interpolation from the coarse grid information. The coarse grid timestep is 90 secs, and the fine grid timestep is 30 secs.

Grid 1 configuration
Grid 1 topography
Grid 1 topography (alternate graphic)
Grid 1 land use
Grid 1 land/water distribution
Grid 1 sea surface temperatures
Grid 2 configuration
Grid 2 topography
Grid 2 topography (alternate graphic
Grid 2 land use
Grid 2 land/water distribution
Grid 2 sea surface temperatures

Model configuration: NCAR's MM5v2 version 2.9
Simple ice microphysics (coarse and fine grids)
Grell cumulus parameterization (coarse and fine grids)
MRF PBL (coarse and fine grids)
Cloud-scheme radiation (coarse and fine grids)
Radiative top boundary condition (coarse and fine grids)
2-way interactive nesting

Initialization: The model is initialized at 1200 UTC. The latest (1200 UTC) Early Eta run (Eta 211 grid, grid has 80 km data resolution, actual model run has 32 km resolution) is used as the first-guess. If the Eta run is unavailable, the AVN run can be used as the first-guess. The 1200 UTC rawinsonde and surface METAR observations are used to enhance the first-guess using NCAR's MM5 RAWINS package with the multi-quadratic analysis scheme. The Eta (or AVN) forecast fields at 06, 12, 18, 24, 30, and 36 hrs are used for the lateral boundary conditions. The fine grid surface characteristic fields (terrain, land/water, vegetation, SST) are interpolated to the fine grid directly from the original data. The fine grid initial fields are interpolated directly to the fine grid (not from the coarse grid).

Soil moisture and snow cover: The soil moisture availability is updated during the model run, using the modifications provided by Jim Bresch at NCAR/MMM. The soil moisture availability (SMA) is initialized for each run using the Eta 12 fcst SMA from the previous Eta run (the previous 12Z run). The snow cover (just yes/no, not snow depth) is updated during the model run using the IFSNOW option in the model. The snow cover is initialized from the most recently available NESDIS IMS snow cover analysis.

Current MESO MM5 runs are initialized at: 15-JUL-1999 12 UTC
NCEP model used for first-guess is ETA from 99071512



MESO MM5 RT Run: Coarse Grid, Initial time= 15-JUL-1999 12 UTC

Field 00 hour
5 am
MST
990715
06 hour
11 am
MST
990715
12 hour
5 pm
MST
990715
18 hour
11 pm
MST
990715
24 hour
5 am
MST
990716
30 hour
11 am
MST
990716
36 hour
5 pm
MST
990716
4 panelField
Snow cvr 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 0600Z 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 00-36 Snow cvr
Soil Moisture 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 0600Z 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 00-36 Soil Moisture
MSLP/500 Thk 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 0600Z 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 00-36 MSLP/500 Thk
SFC T/Winds 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 0600Z 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 00-36 SFC T/Winds
SFC ThetaE 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 0600Z 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 00-36 SFC ThetaE
SFC Mx Ratio 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 0600Z 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 00-36 SFC Mx Ratio
CAPE 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 0600Z 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 00-36 CAPE
CIN 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 0600Z 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 00-36 CIN
LI 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 0600Z 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 00-36 LI
Cloud base HT 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 0600Z 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 00-36 Cloud base HT
Vis Sat View 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 0600Z 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 00-36 Vis Sat View
500 Th/6-h Pre 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 0600Z 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 00-36 500 Thk/6 hr Prc
850 HT/Wind 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 0600Z 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 00-36 850 HT/Wind
850 T/Mx Ratio 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 0600Z 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 00-36 850 T/Mx Ratio
850 RH/W 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 0600Z 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 00-36 850 RH/W
700 RH/W 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 0600Z 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 00-36 700 RH/W
500 HT/Vort 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 0600Z 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 00-36 500 HT/Vort
500 Winds 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 0600Z 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 00-36 500 Winds
300 HT/Vort 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 0600Z 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 00-36 300 HT/Vort
300 Winds 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 0600Z 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 00-36 300 Winds
6 hr Precip 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 0600Z 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 00-36 6 hr Precip
Precip TOTAL 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 0600Z 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 00-36 Precip TOTAL
Sf Wnd/6-h Pre 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 0600Z 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 00-36 SfcWind, 6-hPrcp
4 panel SFC 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 0600Z 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 4 panel SFC
4 panel HTS 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 0600Z 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 4 panel HTS
4 panel CONV 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 0600Z 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 4 panel CONV

MESO MM5 RT Grid 1 Soundings, Initial time= 15-JUL-1999 12 UTC

Location 00 hour
5 am
MST
990715
06 hour
11 am
MST
990715
12 hour
5 pm
MST
990715
18 hour
11 pm
MST
990715
24 hour
5 am
MST
990716
30 hour
11 am
MST
990716
36 hour
5 pm
MST
990716
4 panelLocation
Salt Lake City 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 0600Z 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 00-36 Salt Lake City
Oklahoma City 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 0600Z 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 00-36 Oklahoma City
Dodge City, KS 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 0600Z 1200Z 1800Z 0000Z 00-36 Dodge City, KS


Grid 1 Animations: Animations behave much better now! Click on the link to load the animation. It will keep looping until you click on your browser's "stop".

Animation of Grid 1 MSLP
Animation of Grid 1 Vis Sat View
Animation of Grid 1 Sfc T/Winds
Animation of Grid 1 Sfc Theta-E
Animation of Grid 1 850 Hts, Winds
Animation of Grid 1 6-hrly Precip
Animation of Grid 1 Total Precip
Animation of Grid 1 Sfc Winds and 6-hrly Precip
3-D Grid 1 Cloud Animation
3-D Grid 1 Cloud and Sfc T Animation
Fly-by of 3-D Grid 1 Cloud Animation!

Grid 1 Vertical Cross-Sections
Grid 1 Tabular Site Forecasts

MESO MM5 RT Run: Nested Grid, Init Time= 15-JUL-1999 12 UTC

Field 00 hour
5 am
MST
990715
03 hour
8 am
MST
990715
06 hour
11 am
MST
990715
09 hour
2 pm
MST
990715
12 hour
5 pm
MST
990715
15 hour
8 pm
MST
990715
18 hour
11 pm
MST
990715
21 hour
1 am
MST
990716
24 hour
5 am
MST
990716
27 hour
8 am
MST
990716
30 hour
11 am
MST
990716
33 hour
2 pm
MST
990716
36 hour
5 pm
MST
990716
4 panelField
Snow Cvr 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 0300Z 0600Z 0900Z 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 00-36 Snow Cvr
Soil Moisture 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 0300Z 0600Z 0900Z 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 00-36 Soil Moisture
MSLP/500 Thk 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 0300Z 0600Z 0900Z 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 00-36 MSLP/500 Thk
SFC T/Winds 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 0300Z 0600Z 0900Z 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 00-36 SFC T/Winds
SFC ThetaE 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 0300Z 0600Z 0900Z 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 00-36 SFC ThetaE
SFC Mx Ratio 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 0300Z 0600Z 0900Z 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 00-36 SFC Mx Ratio
CAPE 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 0300Z 0600Z 0900Z 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 00-36 CAPE
CIN 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 0300Z 0600Z 0900Z 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 00-36 CIN
LI 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 0300Z 0600Z 0900Z 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 00-36 LI
Cloud base HT 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 0300Z 0600Z 0900Z 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 00-36 Cloud base HT
Vis Sat View 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 0300Z 0600Z 0900Z 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 00-36 Vis Sat View
800 Cnv/Winds 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 0300Z 0600Z 0900Z 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 00-36 800 Cnv/Winds
850 HT/Winds 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 0300Z 0600Z 0900Z 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 00-36 850 HT/Winds
850 T/Mx Ratio 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 0300Z 0600Z 0900Z 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 00-36 850 T/Mx Ratio
850 RH/W 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 0300Z 0600Z 0900Z 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 00-36 850 RH/W
700 RH/W 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 0300Z 0600Z 0900Z 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 00-36 700 RH/W
500 HT/Vort 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 0300Z 0600Z 0900Z 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 00-36 500 HT/Vort
500 Winds 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 0300Z 0600Z 0900Z 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 00-36 500 Winds
300 HT/Vort 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 0300Z 0600Z 0900Z 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 00-36 300 HT/Vort
300 Winds 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 0300Z 0600Z 0900Z 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 00-36 300 Winds
3 hr Precip 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 0300Z 0600Z 0900Z 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 00-36 3 hr Precip
Precip TOTAL 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 0300Z 0600Z 0900Z 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 00-36 Precip TOTAL
SF Wnd/3-h Pre 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 0300Z 0600Z 0900Z 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 00-36 SFC Wind/3-hr Prcp
Thkn/3-h Pre 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 0300Z 0600Z 0900Z 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 00-36 Thkn/3-hr Prcp
4 panel SFC 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 0300Z 0600Z 0900Z 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 4 panel SFC
4 panel HTS 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 0300Z 0600Z 0900Z 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 4 panel HTS
4 panel CONV 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 0300Z 0600Z 0900Z 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 4 panel CONV

MESO MM5 RT Run: Nested Grid Soundings, Init Time= 15-JUL-1999 12 UTC

Location 00 hour
5 am
MST
990715
03 hour
8 am
MST
990715
06 hour
11 am
MST
990715
09 hour
2 pm
MST
990715
12 hour
5 pm
MST
990715
15 hour
8 pm
MST
990715
18 hour
11 pm
MST
990715
21 hour
1 am
MST
990716
24 hour
5 am
MST
990716
27 hour
8 am
MST
990716
30 hour
11 am
MST
990716
33 hour
2 pm
MST
990716
36 hour
5 pm
MST
990716
4 panelLocation
Denver Intl Arpt 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 0300Z 0600Z 0900Z 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 00-36 Denver Intl Arpt
Limon, CO 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 0300Z 0600Z 0900Z 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 00-36 Limon, CO
Colorado Spr 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 0300Z 0600Z 0900Z 1200Z 1500Z 1800Z 2100Z 0000Z 00-36 Colorado Spr


Grid 2 Animations: Animations behave much better now! Click on the link to load the animation. It will keep looping until you click on your browser's "stop".

Animation of Grid 2 MSLP
Animation of Grid 2 Vis Sat View
Animation of Grid 2 Sfc T/Winds
Animation of Grid 2 Sfc Theta-E
Animation of Grid 2 850 Hts, Winds
Animation of Grid 2 800 conv, Winds
Animation of Grid 2 3-hrly Precip
Animation of Grid 2 Total Precip
Animation of Grid 2 Sfc Winds and 3-hrly Precip
Animation of Grid 2 100/500 Thk and 3-hrly Precip
3-D Grid 2 Cloud Animation
3-D Grid 2 Cloud and Sfc T Animation
Fly-by of 3-D Grid 2 Cloud Animation!

Grid 2 Vertical Cross-Sections
Grid 2 Tabular Site Forecasts

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